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United States Budget Fiscal Years 2017-2025

 

Receipts, Outlays, Surplus or Deficit FY 17 – 25

(billions)

 

Year

Total

Receipts

Total

Outlays

Total

Deficit

Total

Deficit

% GDP

On-

Budget

 Receipts

On-

budget

Outlays

On-

budget

Deficit

On-

budget

Deficit

% GDP

Off-

budget

Receipts

Off-

budget

Outlays

Off-

Budget

Surplus

or

Deficit

Off-

budget

Surplus

or

Deficit

% GDP

Gross

Domestic

Product

(GDP)

Economic

Growth

Rate

%

FY17

3,615

3,851

-236

-1.2

2,618

2,909

-291

-1.5

997

942

55

0.3

19,612

2.2

FY18

3,646

4,094

-448

-2.2

2,643

3,105

-462

-2.3

1,003

989

14

0.1

20,180

2.9

FY19

3,743

4,310

-567

-2.8

2,691

3,277

-586

-2.8

1,052

1,033

19

0.1

20,625

2.2

FY20

3,718

5,913

-2,195

-11.0

2,615

4,829

-2,214

-11.1

1,103

1,084

19

0.1

19,924

-3.4

FY21

4,002

5,807

-1,805

-8.6

2,922

4,684

-1,762

-8.4

1,080

1,123

-43

-0.2

21,060

5.7

FY22

4,435

5,211

-776

-3.6

3,232

4,005

-773

-3.6

1,203

1,206

-3

0

21,502

2.1

FY23

4,552

5,339

-787

-3.6

3,219

3,997

-778

-3.5

1,333

1,342

-9

0

22,040

2.5

FY24

4,814

5,576

-762

-3.4

3,442

4,129

-687

-3.0

1,372

1,447

-75

-0.3

22,635

2.7

FY 25

5,070

5,880

-810

-3.5

3,661

4,329

-668

-2.9

1,409

1,551

-142

-0.6

23,065

1.9

Source: OMB Historical Table 1.1 (6/24); 2017 nominal GDP BEA and UN Data agreement; IMF economic growth rate Sanders, Tony J. 196 Nation Atlas HA-15-4-24 Treasury spending issues and debt retirement equation under review FY 17 - 25

 

General Fund Balance FY 20 – 25

(billions)

 

 

FY 20

FY 21

FY 22

FY 23

FY 24

FY 25

Gross Federal Debt Increase

4,233

1,483

645

661

679

692

Actual Deficit

2,214

1,762

773

778

687

668

Change +/-

+ 2,019

-279

-128

-117

-8

+ 24

Student Loans

0

0

-125

-75

-25

-10

Payroll Tax Overestimate

-200

0

0

0

0

0

Payroll Tax Bond

0

0

+ 36

0

0

0

Semiconductor Loans

0

0

-20

-30

0

0

Balance Annually Adjusted

2,019

1,540

1,412

1,303

1,073

1,062

Source: OMB Historical Table 7.1 Gross Federal Debt FY 20 – 21, Gross Federal Debt Increase = 3% of GDP FY 22 - 25; positive change = deposit in General Fund Balance, negative change = withdrawal to pay for bond buyback in excess of 3 percent of GDP, Student Loan Guesstimate Requesting Annual Receipts, Expenditures, Borrowing and Repayment from General Fund Balance Sec. 80 and 10,000 ERA of 2024 HA-7-11-23, 2022 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old Age Survivor Insurance and Disability Trust Funds, 'Defense production' has been repealed by simple majority from the jurisdiction of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs at Senate Rule XXV(d), since CHIPS (and Sciences) Act Pub. L. 117–167 August 9, 2022.  No Interest on Bond Buybacks. 

 

Public Debt Retirement $14,410 billion, 62.5% of GDP, Outstanding FY 25

(billions)

 

Calculation

Outstanding Public Debt

Gross Federal Debt FY 21

28,386

+ 3% of GDP FY 22 – 25

2,677

Minus Gross Federal Debt FY 94

-4,921

Interest on Public Debt FY 95 – FY 25

-11,732

Gross Federal Debt FY 25

14,410

Year

Treasury Interest on Public Debt

FY 25

633

FY 24

615

FY 23

597

FY 22

579

FY 21

562

FY 20

523

FY 19

573

FY 18

504

FY 17

457

FY 16

430

FY 15

402

FY 14

430

FY 13

417

FY 12

472

FY 11

470

FY 10

393

FY 09

400

FY 08

462

FY 07

250

FY 06

232

FY 05

193

FY 04

180

FY 03

169

FY 02

190

FY 01

211

FY 00

213

FY 99

209

FY 98

223

FY 97

254

FY 96

247

FY 95

242

Total Interest Payment FY 95 - 25

11,732

Source: $31.4 trillion historical accumulation. Federal Debt at End of Year OMB Table 7.1 – FY 21 + 3% of GDP GY 22-25 - FY 95 – 08 Interest on Public Debt calculated as % of GDP with ratio provided by Congressional Budget Office. Federal Debt and Interest Payments, December 2010; – Gross Federal Debt FY 95 – Interest Payment on Public Debt FY 10-25. US Department of Treasury. FY 10 – FY 25 Budget-in-brief Treasury Valuation FY 17 - 25

 

Social Security Administration Totals, OASI, DI and SSI Tax Rate Calculation Operation 2024 and 2025 SSI Tax

(billions)

 

Year / Program

Tax Rate

Total Revenues

Payroll Tax

GF Reim-burse-ment

Taxation of Benefits

Interest Income

Total Expen-ditures

Scheduled Benefit

Admin-istrative Costs

RR Inter-change

Change in Assets

Trust Fund Balance

Trust Fund Ratio

2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OASI

10.6

1,193

1,074

0

55.7

63.3

1,323

1,313

4.4

5.7

-130

2,511

200

DI

1.8

189.2

182.3

0

1.6

5.3

159.3

156.6

2.6

0

30.0

176.9

92

OASDI

12.4

1,382

1,256

0

57.4

68.6

1,482

1,470

7.1

5.7

-100.4

2,688

188

SSI

0

67.8

0

67.8

0

0

67.8

63.0

4.8

0

0

0

0

SSA

12.4

1,450

1,256

67.8

57.4

68.6

1,550

1,533

12.2

5.7

-100.4

2,688

188

2025

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OASI

9.6

1,421

1,300

0

60.2

60.7

1,405.4

1,395.0

4.5

5.9

15.6

2,527

179

DI

1.4

198.0

189.6

0

1.8

6.6

169.6

166.8

2.8

0

28.4

199.7

104

SSI

1.4

189.6

189.6

0

0

0

180.0

165.0

15.0

0

9.6

9.6

5

SSA

12.4

1,808.5

1,679.2

0

62.0

67.3

1,755

1,726.8

22.3

5.9

53.6

2,736

156

Source: 2024 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old Age Survivor Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds, Intermediate Projections; 2024 Annual Report of the Supplemental Security Program.  Multiply 2025 combined OASDI tax by 1.3 = $1,679 (2025).  Enter OASI and DI data.  Try various tax rates needed for total OASI revenues to be slightly more than Total Expenditures, 9.5% is the minimum and 9.6% is positive, and chosen rate.  (9.6 / 12.4) $1,679 billion payroll tax = $1,299.9 billion + $60.2 +$60.7 = $1,420.8 billion total OASI revenues (2025) - $1,405 billion total OASI expenditures = $15.6 billion change in assets.  Do the math again to determine the optimal DI tax rate, that is estimated at 1.4% plus 9.6 OASI tax rate minus 12.4 total tax without repealed Adjustment to Contribution Base Sec. 230 of the Social Security Act 42USC§430, equals 1.4% SSI tax rate.   

 

Revenues by Source FY 17 – 25

(billions)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

Fiscal Year

Individual Income Taxes

Corporate Income Taxes

Social Insurance and Retirement Receipts

On-budget

Off-budget

Excise Taxes

Other

Total

On-budget

Off-budget

2017

1,587

297

1,461

464

997

84

186

3,615

2,618

997

2018

1,683

205

1,488

484

1,003

95

175

3,646

2,643

1,003

2019

1,718

230

1,554

502

1,052

99

142

3,743

2,691

1,052

2020

1,608

212

1,637

534

1,103

87

174

3,718

2,615

1,103

2021

1,730

372

1,626

546

1,080

75

199

4,002

2,922

1,080

2022

1,874

425

1,842

639

1,203

88

206

4,435

3,232

1,203

2023

1,968

420

1,978

645

1,333

76

110

4,552

3,219

1,333

2024

2,066

483

2,067

695

1,372

100

98

4,814

3,442

1,372

2025

2,169

555

2,140

731

1,409

102

104

5,070

3,661

1,409

Source: OMB Revenues Table 2.1 usual growth calculus, % wage + % employment = 5% payroll and individual income tax growth; individual income tax overestimate since FY 21 redressed with 5 percent growth; Corporate income tax growth fluctuates between 10 and 30 percent when there is no recession and tax rate is not reduced OMB overestimates overruled by 15 percent growth from FY 23-FY 25 recession due to sluggish economy; Social Insurance and Retirement Receipts 2020 on and off-budget payroll tax overestimate aside usual 5 percent growth, usual excise tax growth is 5 - 6 percent OMB re-estimated to corroborate prior estimates with 5.5% growth sine ; Other revenues fluctuate due to Customs revenues overestimates since FY 18, changes in tax rates and Federal Reserve bankruptcy since fall 2022.

 

Social Insurance and Retirement Receipts 2017- 25

(billions)

 

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Off-budget (subtotal)

996.6

1,003.3

1,051.9

1,103

1,080.4

1,203.1

1,332.7

1,371.7

1,409.3

OASI

825.6

831.0

900.9

955.6

936.0

1,041.1

1,152.0

1,184

1,215.7

DI

171.0

172.3

151.0

147.4

144.4

162.0

180.7

187.7

193.6

On-budget (sub-total)

464

484.2

502.1

534.4

545.9

639.2

645.1

694.9

730.6

Medicare (subtotal)

414

434.7

456.4

486.1

483.7

566.4

588.8

633.2

666

A

299.4

306.6

322.5

341.7

337.4

396.6

415.3

441.5

456.7

B

88.3

100.5

105.4

116.3

116.9

137.9

138.8

151.2

163.1

D

26.3

27.6

28.5

28.1

29.4

31.9

34.7

40.5

46.2

Unemployment Insurance

45.8

45.0

40.9

43.1

56.6

66.5

49.4

54.1

56.4

Federal employee retirement – employee share

4.2

4.5

4.8

5.2

5.6

6.3

6.9

7.6

8.2

Total

1,460.6

1,487.5

1,554

1,637.4

1,626.3

1,842.3

1,977.8

2,066.6

2,139.9

Source: OMB Table 2.4. OASDI receipts minus any GF reimbursement for 2017-18 entered from Sanders, Tony J. Health and Welfare. Book 3. Hospitals & Asylums HA-29-1-22; and since 2019 from 2024 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old Age Survivor Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds; HI total revenues are entered as Medicare Part A; in addition Part B and D are entered total revenue minus government contributions from 2024 Annual Report of the Federal Hospital Insurance Trust Fund and Federal Supplemental Medical Insurance Trust Fund, Railroad Retirement and Interchange rows are excluded because they are expenses paid for with the OASDI total revenues; Unemployment Insurance and Federal Employee Retirement are entered from OMB, Non-Federal employee retirement is excluded because it earns only about 30 million annually and is not statistically significant in billions of dollars.  Revenues are much higher than OMB mostly due to total Medicare revenues.

 

Excise Taxes FY 17 – 25

(billions)

 

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Federal Funds (subtotal)

21

30

35

30

18

24

5

27

30

Alcohol

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

Tobacco

14

13

13

12

12

11

10

10

9

Crude oil windfall profit

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Telephone

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.2

Ozone depleting chemicals/products

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Transportation fuels

-3

-2

-4

-7

-6

-5

-15

-6

-4

Corporate stock repurchase

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

10

11

Health insurance providers

0.1

5

10

15

0.2

0

0

0

0

Indoor tanning services

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Medical devices

-0.2

-0.2

-0.1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Other

0.1

4

6

-2

1

7

-1

3

4

Trust Funds (subtotal)

63

65

64

57

57

64

71

73

72

Land Transportation

41

43

44

43

44

47

42

44

44

Airport and airway

15

16

16

9

8

11

22

20

20

Black lung disability

0.4

0.4

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

Inland waterway

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

Hazardous substance superfund

0

0

0

0

0

0.4

1

2

3

Post-closure liability (hazardous waste)

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Oil spill liability

0.5

0.5

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.6

0.4

0.5

0.7

Aquatic resources

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

Leaking underground storage tank

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

Tobacco Assessments

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Vaccine injury compensation

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.3

Supplemental medical insurance

4

4

2

3

3

3

3

4

3

Patient-centered outcomes research

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.5

Total, Excise Taxes

84

95

99

87

75

88

76

100

102

Source: OMB Historical Tables 2.4 Composition of Social Insurance and Retirement Receipts and of Excise Taxes; Transportation fuel pertains to the Blenders Tax Credit 26USC§40A as amended by the IRA Public Law No. 117-169; a 1% tax was imposed on Corporation stock repurchases in the Inflation Reduction Act of August 2022, 15 percent growth anticipated after 13% growth FY 24

 

Composition of Other Receipts FY 17 - 25

(billions)

 

Total Other Receipts

Estate and Gift Taxes

Customs Duties and Fees

Miscellaneous, Subtotal

Federal Reserve Deposits

All Other

FY 17

186

23

35

129

81

48

FY 18

176

23

41

112

71

41

FY 19

143

17

40

86

53

33

FY 20

174

18

39

118

82

36

FY 21

199

27

38

134

100

34

FY 22

206

33

37

137

107

30

FY 23

110

34

36

41

0.6

40

FY 24

98

29

34

35

0

35

FY 25

104

33

33

38

0

38

Source: OMB Table 2.5 Other Revenues; Estate and Gift tax overestimates from FY 20 overruled by 3 percent FY 21 – FY 22 COVID high moderating to 2 percent FY 23-FY 25 the $11.7 million estate tax exemption in the 2017 tax act (Public Law 115-97) doubled the exemption amount for the estate tax through the end of 2025, CBO projects that the exemption amount will drop to $6.4 million in 2026 under current law, Swagel, Phillip. Understanding Federal Estate and Gift Taxes. Congressional Budget Office. June 2021; Customs Duties and Fee overestimates resolve with 0.97 deflation since FY 18 barrier high pursuant to the Swiss Formula for Unilateral Tariff Reductions (2007); Federal Reserve Banks Combined Financial Statements as of and for the years ended December 31, 2022 and 2021 and Independent Auditors’ Report of March 14, 2023 declared bankrupt since fall of 2022.

 

Outlays by Agency FY 17 – FY 25

(billions)

 

 

FY 17

FY 18

FY 19

FY 20

FY 21

FY 22

FY 23

FY 24

FY 25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Legislative Branch

4.7

4.8

4.8

 5.2

5.4

6.1

6.3

6.4

6.6

Judicial Branch

6.9

7.0

7.3

7.5

7.8

8.1

8.3

8.5

8.8

Department of Agriculture

146

146

139

150

146

198

196

202

208

Department of Commerce

9.3

9.2

12.3

15.2

8.9

11.5

 11.4

 11.3

11.6

Department of Defense – Military Programs

606

671

685

723

704

777

800

824

849

Department of Education

 73.9

76.5

77.2

94

94.6

98.9

101.8

104.8

107.9

Department of Energy

30.1

30.1

35.7

38.6

41.9

46.2

47.6

49.0

50.5

Department of Health and Human Services

1,050

1,118

1,169

1,249

1,353

1,384

1,409

1,482

1,526

Department of Homeland Security

74.3

87.1

80.7

85.7

86.9

88.8

92.8

95.4

98.3

Department of Housing and Urban Development

48.2

47.8

53.7

69

60.5

69

70.4

72.5

74.7

Department of the Interior

13.6

13.5

12

16.5

15.7

17.8

18.3

18.9

19.5

Department of Justice

28.4

28.1

30.7

32.4

33.4

33.6

34.8

35.9

37.0

Department of Labor

41.2

39.6

36.7

497.2

543.7

95.2

48.4

47.9

49.3

Department of State and International Assistance

55.3

56.5

56.4

56.9

57.9

63.4

66.6

69.3

71.4

Department of Transportation

79.1

85.5

87.7

90.3

93

95.8

98.7

101.7

104.8

Department of the Treasury

550.8

602.3

702.1

1,636.3

1,340.6

970.4

827.0

818.6

917.7

Department of Veteran's Affairs

183.3

197.4

197.5

216.8

238.7

265.8

279.1

293.1

307.7

Corps of Engineers – Civil Works

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.3

2.6

2.8

4.3

4.4

4.5

Environmental Protection Agency

8.3

8

8.8

9.4

9.2

11.2

11.5

11.8

12.2

Executive Office of the President

1.1

 

 

1.1

0.4

0.4

0.8

0.9

0.9

1.0

1.0

General Services Administration

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.8

0.3

0.3

0.3

Office of Personnel Management

53.6

53.8

57

59.2

59.5

60.4

61.9

63.9

65.8

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

19.7

19.6

21.5

22.6

23.3

24.8

25.3

25.9

26.7

National Science Foundation

7.5

7.4

8.2

8.3

8.5

10.2

8.9

9.1

9.4

Small Business Administration

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.9

0.9

1.0

Social Security Administration (on-budget)

58.8

59.5

60.6

60.8

59.9

61.8

65.3

67.8

70.4

Undistributed Offsetting Receipts

-245.7

-269.4

-272.7

-320.2

-312.7

-398.1

-298.7

-303.3

-311.2

Total On-budget Outlays

2,909

3,105

3,277

4,829

4,684

4,005

3,997

4,129

4,329

Total Off-budget Outlays (Trustees)

941.6

988.6

1,033

1,084

1,123

1,206

1,342

1,447

1,551

Total Outlays

3,851

4,094

4,310

5,913

5,807

5,211

5,339

5,576

5,880

Source: Agency Budget Requests FY 22; Treasury, Defense, Veterans Affairs and SSI costs have increased; Treasury overestimates moderate at 3 percent inflation from FY 22; Defense moderates at 3 percent inflation from FY 22 Ukraine; Veterans Affairs grows 5 percent from FY 22; SSI Social Security on-budget calculated by adding payments and administrative costs, disregarding novel attempt to finance administration with overpayments in the 2024 Annual Report of the Social Security Program.  $77.3 billion undistributed offsetting receipts subtracted) due to passage of Enhancement of Internal Revenue in Sec. 10301 of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) PL 117-130 August 16, 2022

 

Undistributed Offsetting Receipts FY 17-25

(billions)

 

Source

FY 17

FY 18

FY 19

FY 20

FY 21

FY 22

FY 23

FY 24

FY 25

Total Undistributed Offsetting Receipts

245.7

269.4

272.7

320.2

312.7

398.1

298.7

303.3

311.2

Department of Treasury

0

0

0

0

0

80

0

0

0

Department of Education

22.2

22.6

22.6

21.8

21.8

21.8

21.8

21.8

21.8

Department of Health and Human Services

115.6

125.2

134.9

137.9

139.9

148.7

153.2

157.8

162.5

Department of the Interior

3.9

4.6

3.2

1.5

0

2.6

2.7

2.7

2.9

Department of Defense – Military Programs

104

 

117

 

112

 

159

 

151

 

145

121

121

124

Defense Worksheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Department of Defense – Military Programs – Budget Request

606

671

685

723

704

776

800

824

849

Air Force

169

184

194

168

168

224

247

259

267

Army

159

179

181

186

177

184

185

185

191

Navy

174

191

198

210

208

223

247

259

267

Total Real Spending

-502

-554

-573

-564

-553

-631

-679

-703

- 725

Department of Defense – Military Programs (subtotal)

104

117

112

159

151

145

121

121

124

Source: Agency Budget Requests; Sanders, Tony J. Health and Welfare. Book 3. Outlays Sec. 73(D) Table 8. Hospitals & Asylums HA-29-1-22; offset for Enhancement of Internal Revenue in Sec. 10301 of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) PL 117-130 August 16, 2022; to provide consistent annual accounting pursuant to Audit Standard No. 6 Evaluating Consistency of Financial Statement by the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (2008) and Rule 66 of the International Public Sector Standards Board Handbook of International Public Sector Accounting Pronouncements 2022 Edition Vol. I, Defense Budget Overview. United States Department of Defense Fiscal Years 2019-2025 Budget Requests.  The United States has the most expensive military in the world.  Nuclear weapons modernization production must be terminated until the President reports on compliance with the 2,200 nuclear warhead limit pursuant to the Atomic Energy Act of 1954 42USC§2122, nuclear weapon sales will then be taxed 6%, serial numbers investigated and the United States may be prosecuted for $150 billion UN Compensation on suspicion of fault regarding nuclear tests of the seismic code, other hostile environmental modification and Iraq war residuals.